Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.623044 0.706100 0.794569 0.895653 1.007778 1.128162 1.267015
2025-09-21 0.501184 0.617783 0.751014 0.913793 1.106539 1.326686 1.596315
2025-09-28 0.397913 0.531143 0.693726 0.904999 1.170358 1.490531 1.903749
2025-10-05 0.341231 0.489900 0.682450 0.946773 1.296338 1.738515 2.335148
2025-10-12 0.295334 0.454007 0.671199 0.984695 1.419018 1.991971 2.795854
2025-10-19 0.250152 0.410888 0.642895 0.994055 1.502123 2.198793 3.211677
2025-10-26 0.212589 0.372097 0.614236 0.997406 1.574482 2.394273 3.625196
2025-11-02 0.181892 0.338407 0.587682 0.998983 1.641935 2.585478 4.044391
2025-11-09 0.156284 0.308457 0.562231 0.997871 1.703053 2.769589 4.463781
2025-11-16 0.135550 0.283209 0.540525 0.999080 1.765959 2.958635 4.900767
2025-11-23 0.116483 0.257580 0.514375 0.989034 1.808277 3.116948 5.298863
2025-11-30 0.104418 0.243152 0.505753 1.007265 1.897374 3.353080 5.830672
2025-12-07 0.089958 0.221701 0.481939 0.996724 1.938018 3.516220 6.261136
2025-12-14 0.079914 0.207713 0.470389 1.007103 2.015551 3.744902 6.811969
2025-12-21 0.068662 0.188916 0.446707 0.991648 2.044918 3.893660 7.238778
2025-12-28 0.064051 0.184623 0.452069 1.033067 2.181622 4.235097 8.009702
2026-01-04 0.059614 0.179925 0.455881 1.071513 2.315335 4.578858 8.802782
2026-01-11 0.053401 0.169525 0.445780 1.080034 2.391772 4.824390 9.437105
2026-01-18 0.047555 0.158887 0.433621 1.082660 2.456304 5.051368 10.049646
2026-01-25 0.042337 0.148865 0.421456 1.083743 2.517298 5.274603 10.666050
2026-02-01 0.037613 0.139221 0.408795 1.082167 2.572230 5.488875 11.276033
2026-02-08 0.033589 0.130774 0.397878 1.083225 2.632301 5.715669 11.919536
2026-02-15 0.029514 0.121190 0.382616 1.072294 2.665537 5.891597 12.475384